Saturday, July 5, 2025

Polar Bear Power Forever

Over the last nine months, Pete Alonso has had quite the resurgence. In Game 2 of the 2024 Wild Card Series against the Milwaukee Brewers, it seemed like Alonso’s potential last moments as a New York Met would be dropping a foul pop up and stumbling out of the batter’s box while tripping over his own bat. The following night, the pending free agent first baseman made the swing of a lifetime. With the Mets down 2-0 in a win-or-go-home Game 3 in the top of the 9th with one out, Alonso smacked a go-ahead three-run home run. Tacking on an extra run, the Mets won the game 4-2 and the series 2-1.

Nicknamed the Polar Bear, Alonso has been one of the faces of the franchise since his debut in 2019. In his rookie season, Pete put himself on the map by blasting an MLB rookie record 53 home runs- surpassing New York Yankees’ star outfielder Aaron Judge’s record of 51 from just two seasons prior. The following year, in a COVID shortened 2020 60-game season, Pete mashed 16 HRs in the 57 games he played.

Aside from this outlier shortened season, Alonso has yet to hit for less than 34 home runs in a single season. Barring a major injury, Alonso is due to surpass Darryl Strawberry for most home runs in Mets history in the very near future as of this writing. With 246 career homers, the four-time All Star needs just six more to tie, and seven more to break Strawberry’s franchise record, one that has stood for 35 years. 

Free agency does not provide many appealing options if the Mets were to lose out on retaining Alonso. Some of the top names available at first base include former Mets Wilmer Flores and Mark Canha, now playing for San Francisco and Kansas City respectively. Current Yankees first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and Carlos Santana could possibly fill the void, but at ages 37 (38 in September) and 39 respectively, it is hard to imagine that either player would be anything more than a stopgap.

Internally, the Mets do have a couple of players that could fill the void. One option would be current third baseman Mark Vientos. Vientos is a big power threat and profiles more as a first baseman with his slow-footedness than someone who typically mans the hot corner. In his first full season in the majors last year in 2024, Vientos showed he belonged.

The young slugger hit for a .266 batting average and an OPS of .837 while mashing 27 home runs and driving in 71 runners. But halfway through the 2025 season, Vientos has struggled mightily. So far, the young power threat has a batting average 40 points lower than his 2024 mark hitting just .220, and at .645 his OPS is almost an astounding 200 points lower than his previous season with only 6 home runs and a meager 21 RBIs so far in 2025. 

Another choice to fill the potential massive void if Alonso were to leave is Ryan Clifford. Clifford is a highly regarded player, being ranked the sixth best prospect in the Mets farm system, having come over from Houston in 2023 when the Mets traded Justin Verlander back to Houston after half a season in Flushing. But at 21 years old, he likely is another year or two away from making an impact in the majors. In 74 games for AA Binghamton this year, the first baseman/outfielder has a .240 average and an OPS of .808 while smacking 13 HRs and driving in 42 RBIs. 

Re-signing Pete Alonso should be the number one priority for the front office this upcoming offseason. Alonso has been repeatedly quoted saying he wishes to remain with the Mets for the rest of his career. It wouldn’t be a failure if Alonso were to leave, but it would be yet another name on a long list of franchise icons who didn’t get to play his entire career in Queens.  Read More...

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Thursday, June 5, 2025

The Ballad of Juan Soto

 This isn’t the first rodeo. 

In his first season in Flushing, Juan Soto’s start to his 2025 season hasn’t been idyllic. To say the 26 year old superstar outfielder has been struggling would be underselling it. Soto is hitting a meager .224 this season through the month of May with an OPS almost 200 points lower than his career average at .745 at the time of writing. 


Fan reaction to Soto’s struggles has been mixed to say the least. Depending where on social media you look, you’ll see reactions begging fans to be patient to posts begging the Mets to either bench Soto, or demote him to the minor leagues. After signing a 15 year, $765M deal back in December, the richest contract in both MLB history and all of sports, it’s not unreasonable to say Soto has been a disappointment. But this is far from the first time a big time player has struggled in their transition to Queens. Nor will it likely be the last.

Prior to Soto’s mega-deal, Carlos Beltrán held the team record for the largest free agent contract. In January 2005, Beltrán inked a seven year $119M deal to play for the Mets, igniting both an era of excitement and one that would ultimately be a disappointment. That first season, the star center fielder was a lightning rod for fan criticism based on his play. While not playing horribly, he did not play up to his potential. For the 2005 season, Beltrán hit .266 with a .744 OPS that season while slugging just 16 home runs after hitting 38 the previous season splitting time between Kansas City and Houston. 


The rest of Beltrán’s tenure with the Mets would go a lot better. He won three consecutive gold gloves in center field in 2006-2008, two silver sluggers in 2006 & 2007, and had four more All-Star nods in 2006, 2007, 2009, and 2011 before being traded to San Francisco at the 2011 trade deadline. Beltrán ranks seventh all time in Mets franchise history in home runs and RBIs, with 149 and 559 respectively. 


For a more recent example of the first year struggles in the Orange and Blue, look no further than current Mets star shortstop Francisco Lindor. The former All-Star shortstop was acquired in a trade with the then Cleveland Indians back in January of 2021. Lindor and pitcher Carlos Carassco came to New York in exchange for shortstop Amed Rosario, second baseman Andrés Giménez, and two minor leaguers. 


Lindor, set to become a free agent after the 2021 season, signed a 10 year $341M extension with the Mets right before the season started. But that extension soon seemed like a burden to start the year off with his new team. Up until Memorial Day weekend that year, he was hitting a putrid .181 batting average, an OPS of just .551, with just three home runs and nine RBIs. Fan reaction to his early struggles was harsh.


But, Lindor soon reverted back into the form that earned him that big contract. The slugging shortstop would launch 17 more home runs that season, driving in 54 RBIs while hitting .257 with an OPS of .835. Lindor has since had three top 10 MVP finishes including finishing in second place last season
while sparking a dramatic Mets playoff run, losing to the eventual World Series champion Dodgers in six games in the National League Championship Series. From being booed and ridiculed by fans, to potentially being named the next Mets captain. It has been an incredible turnaround for Lindor in Queens.

This adjustment issue goes as far back as the late 90s. After being traded to the Mets midseason in 1998, catcher Mike Piazza had his share of struggles adjusting to life in New York and to a new team, his second in just a week. Piazza overall had a very good season with the Mets, but often struggled to get the big hit to drive in runners on base, especially runners in scoring position.


After signing a seven year, $91M deal in the offseason of 1998-’99, Piazza would go on to cement himself not only as a Mets legend, but as a Hall of Famer too. In 2016, Piazza became just the second person ever inducted into Cooperstown as a New York Met alongside Tom Seaver. Piazza slugged 220 home runs for New York. At the time of Piazza’s retirement in 2008, that was the second most in franchise history behind only Darryl Strawberry’s 252 mark. 

With Soto’s track record of success, there is little reason to believe this is the new normal. It may not be today, it might not even be this season, but Juan Soto will turn it around. 


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Sunday, April 7, 2013

2013 New York Mets Season Preview

The 2012 New York Mets saw many highlights last season. A no-hitter, a 20 game winner and Cy Young winner, and a new team leader in hits, and a piece of the future puzzle. But once again, the second half swoon came into play. The Mets won 74 games last season, 4 less than 2011. This season looks as though the hardships will continue, (Who will replace the 20 wins R.A. Dickey gave the Mets last season?), (Who will replace Santana in the rotation?) the future appears bright. With the likely additions of Zack Wheeler and Travis d'Arnaud sometime before the season ends, fans might get a glimpse at the future of the starting rotations with Wheeler, Harvey and Niese.

STARTING LINEUP:
The optimal lineup for the start of this season will likely be as follows
Collin Cowgill-CF
Daniel Murphy-2B
David Wright-3B
Ike Davis-1B
Marlon Byrd-RF
Lucas Duda-LF
John Buck- C
Ruben Tejada- SS
(Pitcher)

Not exactly Murderers' Row, but if each player hits to his full potential the Mets might surprise a few people and be the sneaky contender for that second Wild-Card spot, introduced just last season.

Collin Cowgill was acquired in the offseason via trade with the Oakland A's in exchange for Jefry Marte. An impressive Spring Training landed Cowgill the starting Center-Field spot over contenders like Matt den Dekker, Jordany Valdespin, and Kirk Nieuwenhuis.

Best Case Scenario:
Cowgill proves his worth to the team by starting 120 games, hitting around .270 with a high on base percentage and a good glove.
Worst Case Scenario:
Cowgill struggles and struggles mightily with the Mets, hitting a measly .210, his speed declines over the course of the season and is eventually replaced in the lineup by Jordany Valdespin. Cowgill is also released in order to make room on the roster for prospect Matt den Dekker.
My Prediction:
Cowgill makes a nice contribution to the team hitting around .255-.260 with a relatively high OBP and makes some nice defensive plays in the outfield.

Daniel Murphy makes it for his third consecutive Opening Day this year and for the second consecutive year at second base. Last year Murphy hit .291 with an on base percentage of .331 while slugging .403 for a .734 OPS, a drop from his underrated 2011 performance in which he was fifth in batting at the time of his knee injury.

Best Case Scenario
Murphy continues to make improvements in his game both on the field and at the plate. Murphy's average rises back to over .300 with slightly more power than last time.
Worst Case Scenario
Murphy's production drops significantly, making many wonder if he really is the answer long term at second base. Eventually he is replaced by Mets prospect Wilmer Flores at second.
My Prediction
Murphy shows why he belongs in the everyday lineup, hitting .290 with a .345 OBP. His defense still leaves something to be desired but proves to be more than satisfactory.

David Wright was a huge question mark heading into the offseason, though not because of his on the field production. After a dismal 2011 season in which he missed a significant amount of time due to a back injury, Wright returned to form. In the first half, many thought Wright would be the MVP, but unfortunately when the bats went cold, so did Wright's. With rumors swirling that he might be traded, the Mets and Wright put those to bed when he signed an 8 year $138 million extension. During Spring Training Wright was officially named the captain of the Mets, only the fourth player to have such honor.

Best Case Scenario
After a hot World Baseball Classic that saw him earn the nickname "Captain America", Wright continues the torrid pace, putting up numbers of an MVP level.
Worst Case Scenario
Wright struggles mightily this season, making fans question whether or not the Mets should have given the money to Jose Reyes instead of Wright.
My Prediction
While not MVP level numbers, Wright shows why he earned his new contract, putting up numbers that haven't been seen from him since Shea Stadium.

To say Ike Davis struggled in the first half of last season for the Mets would be a massive understatement. Hitting a measly .201 with a .271 OBP and slugging .388, many questioned if Ike Davis was ever going to be the player that he was thought to be when he first burst onto the scene in 2010. But in the second half Ike picked up production showing signs that he might still be that player

Best Case Scenario
In an arbitration year, Ike shows why he should be payed a large sum. Hitting 30 HR's, and eclipsing the 100 RBI mark for the first time in his career.
Worst Case Scenario
Ike's first half struggles from last year prove to be more than just a fluke, making fans wonder if Ike is a part of the team for the long-haul.
My Prediction
Ike starts off the year cold but as the temperature warms up, so does Ike's bat. Ike's season is much like his rookie season .270, 90 RBI's, 20 HR's, and a .330 OBP.

Marlon Byrd in 2013 is looking to bounce back from one of the worst seasons of his career, including a 50 game suspension for Performance Entrancing Drugs. A standout Spring not only earned him a roster spot but a place in the starting lineup as well.

Best Case Scenario
Byrd proves to be a great pickup for the Mets by providing consistent offense and a good glove in right field.
Worst Case Scenario
Byrd falters with the Mets and is eventually replaced by no-hitter folk hero Mike Baxter in the lineup and later outright released.
My Prediction
Byrd plays well enough to retain a roster spot but not well enough to continue starting and is replaced by Mike Baxter

Lucas Duda continues to be a mystery for the Mets. With no legitimate options in the outfield Duda remains the starting left fielder. But for how long is the question?

Best Case Scenario
With tweaks to his swing Duda shows why he needs to remain in the everyday lineup. Hitting 20 HR's and over 80 RBI's with an average around .275 and an OBP of over .320.
Worst Case Scenario
Duda again struggles this season and is finally let go in order to name room for den Dekker.
My Prediction 
While he doesn't show the power that made him so popular in the Mets front office, Duda does enough to stay in the lineup.

John Buck, acquired in the R.A. Dickey trade (Buck was also traded to Toronto in the Jose Reyes deal), looks to prove his worth while top catching prospect Travis d'Arnaud, one of the centerpieces in the Dickey trade, waits in the wings at AAA Las Vegas.

Best Case Scenario
Buck's performance makes fans forget about d'Arnaud until September call ups and see what it is like to have a legitimate catcher for the first time since Paul LoDuca.
Worst Case Scenario
Buck struggles to keep himself in the lineup, making fans beg to see d'Arnaud faster than the front office may wish to do.
My Prediction
Buck starts off hot for the Mets crushing the ball into early June but is later moved to help improve the bullpen and make room for d'Arnaud.

Ruben Tejada had a standout year in his first season as full-time starter at shortstop. While not completely erasing the memory of the departed Jose Reyes, Tejada did more than enough to show why he is the long-term answer at the position.

Best Case Scenario
Tejada improves upon his breakout 2012 season and continues to prove Sandy Alderson right when he let Jose Reyes walk in free agency.
Worst Case Scenario
Tejada struggles to stay healthy this season. While not replaced, Tejada is constantly reminded by the fans of his predecessor.
My Prediction
Tejada shines as he continues to prove his doubters wrong, hitting over .300 and earning a Gold Glove as well.

STARTING ROTATION

With the trade of R.A. Dickey and the shoulder injury to Johan Santana the starting rotation will look a lot different than it has for the last few seasons.
Niese
Harvey
Gee
Marcum
Hefner

Jon Niese proved very effective last season as the third starter, going 13-9 with a 3.40 ERA. Now, as the ace of the staff, Niese seeks to improve upon those numbers for the 2013 season.

Best Case Scenario
Niese again shows why he was given the contract extension last season and shows that he is not to be forgotten in the Mets' plans going into the future.
Worst Case Scenario
Niese's proneness to injury again rears its ugly head and he is lost for the season, throwing the rotation into a further state of disarray.
My Prediction
While not flashy, Niese continues to show why he should be considered among the game's better pitchers.

Matt Harvey burst onto the scene right from his major league debut when he struck out 11 batters. Harvey showed many signs of brilliance during his short stint in 2012. Now a lock for the rotation, Harvey looks to show why the future is bright for the Mets.

Best Case Scenario
Harvey dominates the league and wins the National League Rookie of the Year title, becoming the first Met to earn the title since Dwight Gooden in 1984.
Worst Case Scenario
Harvey takes a step back in his development and falls into the "Sophomore Slump".
My Prediction
Harvey continues to prove why he is considered one of the best young arms in baseball, winning the strikeout title.

Dillon Gee is looking to rebound from his 2012 season and show he can stay healthy. Gee was shut down for the entire second half of the season due to a blood clot of his artery located in his right shoulder, his throwing shoulder.

Best Case Scenario
Gee shows that he is more than just a fifth starter. He stays healthy and pitches more than 170 innings.
Worst Case Scenario
Gee's shoulder again flares up and again is shut down. This time, perhaps, for the remainder of his career.
My Prediction
While not turning any heads, Gee lends a steady hand to the rotation and proves his worth in the dog days of summer.

Shaun Marcum, signed as a free agent in the offseason, looks to prove he can stay healthy. A feat that he has not accomplished so far in his career.

Best Case Scenario
Marcum shows that he is more than just a stopgap for top pitching prospect Zack Wheeler.
Worst Case Scenario
Marcum misses significant time due to injury and when he does pitch he proves ineffective.
My Prediction
Like much of his career Marcum misses significant time with various injuries but when on the mound Marcum shows why he was signed in the first place.

Jeremy Hefner takes the place of Johan Santana in the rotation. Last year, Hefner was mostly used as the long man and spot starter. This year he looks to show why he earned the chance to be in the starting rotation.

Best Case Scenario
Hefner proves he can hang with the big boys and holds his own, keeping Wheeler at bay for just a little while longer.
Worst Case Scenario
Hefner shows signs that he can pitch full time as a starter but they are few and far between and is sent to the bullpen to make room for Wheeler.

Hefner proves satisfactory but is eventually moved out of the starting rotation to make room for Wheeler.

Zack Wheeler is considered by many to be one of the top pitching prospects not just for the Mets, but in all of baseball, ranking 8th in Baseball America's top 100 Prospects list. It is only a matter of time before he sees major league action.

Best Case Scenario
Wheeler dominates AAA Las Vegas and is called up as soon as possibly allowed and shows exactly why the Mets invested much of their future on him, providing a dominant 1-2 combo with Harvey that hasn't been seen since the days of Seaver and Koosman.
Worst Case Scenario
Wheeler struggles with his command while in Vegas and makes many question whether or not he is ready for the major league level and if he is the real deal
My Prediction
Wheeler arrives sometime in mid-June. While not initially setting the world on fire, Wheeler gets better with every start and soon begins to dominate hitters in the National League.

BENCH

The bench this season, despite the loss odd Scott Hairston to the Cubs, should be improved from last season. With the likes of Kirk Neiuwenhuis, Mike Baxter, Jordany Valdespin, Anthony Recker, and Justin Turner, it should prove a valuable asset if it is not overly taxed.

*NOTE* I am not making predictions on the bullpen because their success varies from season to season.

OVERALL PREDICTION
I had thought this last year that I believed that the team would do better than expected and that was partially correct as they were in contention for the division title for the first half of the season. This year I believe the same thing. The Phillies appear to be ripe for the picking and the Marlins have completed their third fire-sale leaving them barren. Look for the youth movement to start this coming season with the debuts of Wheeler and d'Arnaud (and if we're incredibly fortunate Raphael Montero as well).

FINAL RECORD:
80-82, no playoffs, 3rd in the NL East. Read More...

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Sunday, March 31, 2013

Examining the Career of Johan Santana

March 28th, 2013, likely marked the end of an era for the Mets. With the announcement of Johan Santana having a possible tear in his anterior capsule in his left shoulder, the same injury he had at the end of the 2010 season which required him to miss the entire 2011 season.

Johan Santana came to New York with much fan-fare in a sign & trade deal that saw then top prospects Carlos Gomez, Phillip Humber, Kevin Mulvey, and Deolis Guerra, in exchange for Santana signing a 6 year $137.5 million contract, the richest for a pitcher in baseball history at the time. Out of these four players, only Gomez has shown any sort of consistant success in the majors. After throwing a perfect game last season, Humber's season took a drastic turn for the worse, and Mulvey, who pitched not even a full season in the majors (he last pitched for Arizona in 2010) before retiring as a Met in May of last year. But injuries marred what was supposed to be a reign of dominance by Santana.

His 2008 season Santana nearly won the NL Cy Young Award placing third in voting, and kept the Mets playoff hopes alive (at least for one more day) by pitching a spectacular three hit complete game shutout against the Marlins in Game 161. It was later revealed that Santana had pitched the game on a torn meniscus, thus making the performance all the more spectacular. 

Santana's 2009 season was a bit off compared to 2008. In 2009 Santana came out hot, in his first 10 starts he was 7-2, and had a 1.72 ERA, but in his final 15 starts he went 6-7 and had a 4.02 ERA to finish with a 13-9 record and 3.13 ERA in 166 innings pitched, shut down in late August to remove bone chips from his elbow.

The 2010 season does not stand out as memorable on the surface but it has proven to be vastly underrated. To drive home the point, outside of record, innings pitched, and strikeouts, Santana's season was better than his crosstown ace counterpart in CC Sabathia, who placed third in AL Cy Young voting that season. In 200 innings pitched, Santana had a 11-9 record, but a 2.98 ERA, a WHIP of 1.18, and 144 strikeouts. But once again, Santana's season was cut short due to injury, this time a torn anterior capsule in his left throwing shoulder. This injury kept him out for the entire 2011 season as well.

2012 marked a new beginning for Johan. Santana came back with a vengeance, posting a 2.75 ERA and along with eventual NL Cy Young winner, R.A. Dickey made a potent 1-2 punch. On June 1st, it finally happened. That night, Johan Santana threw not only his first career no-hitter, but also the first no-hitter in New York Mets history. His next start, Santana was rocked by the New York Yankees, going five innings and allowing six runs. But after that he seemed to settle down and begin getting his feet back under him, especially after throwing 8 shutout innings against the Dodgers. But his next start, Chicago Cubs outfielder stepped on Santana's ankle and it all went downhill from there failing to make it past the 5th inning while allowing six or more runs in each of his five starts after. 

Santana is a very polarizing figure for some Mets fans but he still remains one of the most popular and better pitchers in Mets franchise history. Was he worth the contract that he received? In short, no. But would I do that trade again? In a New York minute. 
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Friday, January 11, 2013

Mike Piazza Not elected to the Hall of Fame

On January 9th of this year, the class of 2013 was announced to the Major League Baseball Hall of Fame, and for the first time since 1996, no player was elected. Some of the players on the list include, Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Sammy Sosa, Mark McGuire, Jack Morris, Jeff Bagwell, Craig Biggio, Curt Schilling, and former Met Mike Piazza. Back in 2008, after Piazza announced his retirement, our very own Mike Peters wrote an article stating that Piazza should be put in to the Hall. However Piazza fell well short of the 75% needed to gain entry with 57.8% of the vote, 93 votes short.

It appears that the main reason why Piazza was not elected is the suspicion of his steroid use. Unlike Bonds, McGuire, Sosa, and Clemens, there has been no concrete evidence ever linking Piazza to performance enhancing drugs. Piazza was not named by Jose Canseco, nor was his name listed in the Mitchell Report. The closest link between Piazza and steroids was the rumor of back acne. Piazza's numbers alone should have warranted election to the Hall of Fame, with 396 homeruns as a catcher out of 427, 1335 career RBI's, a .306 career batting average, .377 on base percentage, and .545 slugging percentage. Piazza beats out Johnny Bench, who is considered by many to be the greatest catcher ever, in every category but RBI's, in two seasons less than Bench. However, many writers simply have stated that they wish to see what Piazza's book (which comes out in February) has to say about his potential usage of steroids.


If there is no new revelations about Piazza and potential steroids in between now and next year's vote, then there should be no argument that Piazza should be voted in as a Hall of Famer. Thus leaving the only argument whether or not he goes in as a Dodger, or as a Met.

UPDATE:
For the second year in a row Piazza was not elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame, receiving 62.2% of the vote. Read More...

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